2009 NFL Ranking Formula (Week 6)

I finally got back-to-back weeks with my power ranking formula. With the Saints beating the Giants we are with one less undefeated team, which is making things more and more interesting. This also leaves us with that question that always seems to be asked: who will the last unbeaten team be? The Vikings and Broncos both have two very difficult games coming up. This week the Vikings play at Pittsburgh then next week are at Green Bay followed bye week, while the Broncos have a bye this week but the next two weeks are at Baltimore and then against the Steelers. The Colts and Saints should both win this week, playing away games against the Rams and Dolphins respectively. Then the Colts get the 49ers at home and Texans at home, while the Saints get the Falcons at home and Panthers at home. That two game stretch look more difficult for the Saints but I wouldn’t be surprised to see both teams start 9-0 or 10-0. They both have just one or two more games that look dangerous and other than that it’s relatively easy sailing.

I would still like to add a few more sources to come up with the average rankings but I’m just not sure which ones I would use. If there are any suggestions let me know. Also, The formula I made for this will become more and more accurate as the season goes on, because as of right now the win percentages are being greatly influential over the final outcome due to the fact that each game makes up a greater portion of teams win percentage. The more games that are played, the more it will water down that impact and the rankings as a whole will become more accurate. Continue reading

NFL Passer Ratings

Bryan just called me asking what I thought of Kerry Collins’ negative-seven yard passing performance yesterday. I pulled up the box score for the game to review his stat line (2 for 12 for -7 yards, 0 TDs and a pick) and said “well there have been worse performances.” After Bryan understandably expressed his confusion about my confidence in that remark I read the last number on the stat line: “as bad as it was he still had a 4.9 passer rating and we know that there are definitely players who have had passer ratings of 0.0” to which we wondered just how bad a quarterback would have to play in order to earn that dreadful 0.0 mark. Well after some brief discussion on the matter Bryan pointed out that this could turn into a pretty good post to which I simply responded “I’m on it.” Continue reading

2008 NFL Power Rankings (Week 6)

Okay, I realized it’s a little last minute, but I am getting this done before the first games kick off this week so it still counts. Plus I did say that I would put these up. But since these are late anyhow, I decided to have a little bit of fun with them, just to mix it up a bit. So instead of going through and deciding who should be ranked where, I simply made a formula to determine the rankings for me. This formula is by no means perfect, but I did find that it has the teams ranked at least close to where I would have ranked them on my own. The formula isn’t too terribly complex, but it’s complex enough that I don’t really feel like explaining it, so as an alternative I will just tell you that the three main components are win percentage, point differential (on a per game average), and a compilation of multiple professional power ranking. In the end, my formula gave me a “score” for each team and then I ranked them based on those points. Like I said, this formula isn’t perfect, the point scale won’t make a whole lot of since to anybody, so don’t put too much thought into it. I don’t think that the Titans are three times better than the Giants, these are just the numbers that the formula spit out. There are some things that I definitely want to change for future use of this formula, but for now I give you this:

Rank LW Team W L Win % PD/G Avg Rnk Score
1 2 Tennessee 5 0 1.00 11.80 1.19 2720.00
2 1 NY Giants 4 1 0.80 11.40 2.63 972.19
3 7 Pittsburgh 4 1 0.80 4.80 2.75 736.00
4 3 Buffalo 4 1 0.80 4.40 5.38 370.60
5 12 Washington 4 2 0.67 1.50 6.56 223.49
6 8 Tampa Bay 4 2 0.67 7.33 8.69 213.59
7 4 Dallas 4 2 0.67 5.67 8.31 209.86
8 20 Arizona 4 2 0.67 5.50 9.63 180.09
9 17 Indianapolis 3 2 0.60 3.40 8.13 176.49
10 11 Carolina 4 2 0.67 3.33 10.50 151.32
11 14 Denver 4 2 0.67 2.00 11.69 128.34
12 6 San Diego 3 3 0.50 6.50 11.31 119.34
13 5 Philadelphia 3 3 0.50 7.33 13.00 107.05
14 25 Atlanta 4 2 0.67 2.00 14.38 104.35
15 19 NY Jets 3 2 0.60 2.20 15.31 88.95
16 9 New Orleans 3 3 0.50 6.50 16.69 80.90
17 16 Jacksonville 3 3 0.50 -0.67 13.31 74.49
18 15 Chicago 3 3 0.50 6.50 18.38 73.47
19 10 Green Bay 3 3 0.50 2.50 18.69 61.54
20 18 New England 3 2 0.60 -4.00 16.13 61.40
21 21 Minnesota 3 3 0.50 -1.00 19.94 48.90
22 24 Miami 2 3 0.40 0.80 23.25 36.65
23 13 Baltimore 2 3 0.40 -1.80 22.13 33.81
24 26 Cleveland 2 3 0.40 -2.20 22.31 32.81
25 23 San Francisco 2 4 0.33 -4.33 27.00 19.96
26 27 Houston 1 4 0.20 -9.20 25.63 8.82
27 22 Seattle 1 4 0.20 -10.20 25.81 7.98
28 28 Oakland 1 4 0.20 -10.80 28.88 6.72
29 29 Kansas City 1 4 0.20 -13.20 29.81 4.90
30 30 Cincinnati 0 6 0.00 -9.33 30.38 0.37
31 31 Detroit 0 5 0.00 -16.60 31.63 0.12
32 32 St. Louis 1 4 0.20 -20.40 28.63 0.07

Legend: W-Wins, L-Losses, PD/G- Point Differential per Game, Score-The number my formula gave me for each team.

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