WMD: 1998 Colts vs 2010 Rams

This segment of WMD (Weller’s Musing and Divination) came via a suggestion from Bryan, which he mentioned in this post. The suggestion was to compare the 1998 Colts team with the 2010 Rams team. The ’98 season was Peyton Manning’s rookie year with the Colts and this 2010 season is obviously going to be Sam Bradford’s rookie year with the Rams. The Colts were coming off an abysmal 3-13 season that landed them the top pick in the 98 Draft. The Rams are coming off an abysmal 1-15 season that landed them the top pick in the 10 Draft. Colts top receiver, Marvin Harrison was entering his third season and had yet to really put together a great season. Rams top receiver, Donnie Avery is entering his third season and has yet to really put together a great season. It was Colts head coach, Jim Mora’s first year with the team. It’s Rams head coach, Steve Spagnuolo’s second year with the team. The Colts star running back, Marshall Faulk, who was easily the best player on the team, was entering his fifth season and was coming off a good season in which he was able to play in three more games than he had the previous year. The Rams star running back, Steven Jackson, who is easily the best player on the team, is entering his seventh season and is coming off a great season in which he was able to play in three more games than he had the previous year. The Colts had finished dead last in the worst division in the league the previous year. The Rams finished dead last in the worst division in the league last year. Also, when all else failed the Colts had the small bright spot that was their punter, Chris Gardocki. And, when all else fails the Rams have the small bright spot that is their punter, Donnie Jones. Continue reading

Colts Offense – WMD

Editors note: I recognize how unrealistic this idea is, but it sure is fun to think about.

Sanders being a beast

A little over a week ago I wrote a post where I mentioned that I would soon be breaking down what makes next year for the Colts exciting. One of the things that I’m stoked about is that it sounds like Bob Sanders is healthier than he has been in a long, long time. This post though (as you can guess from the title) is about the offense, and honestly the magnitude of firepower that the Colts have on the offensive side of the ball is enough in itself to have me excited about next year. However I received some inspiration to probe a little more thoroughly into the possibilities that this gives us when I read this quote from Jim Caldwell: Continue reading

2008 NFL Power Rankings (Week 6)

Okay, I realized it’s a little last minute, but I am getting this done before the first games kick off this week so it still counts. Plus I did say that I would put these up. But since these are late anyhow, I decided to have a little bit of fun with them, just to mix it up a bit. So instead of going through and deciding who should be ranked where, I simply made a formula to determine the rankings for me. This formula is by no means perfect, but I did find that it has the teams ranked at least close to where I would have ranked them on my own. The formula isn’t too terribly complex, but it’s complex enough that I don’t really feel like explaining it, so as an alternative I will just tell you that the three main components are win percentage, point differential (on a per game average), and a compilation of multiple professional power ranking. In the end, my formula gave me a “score” for each team and then I ranked them based on those points. Like I said, this formula isn’t perfect, the point scale won’t make a whole lot of since to anybody, so don’t put too much thought into it. I don’t think that the Titans are three times better than the Giants, these are just the numbers that the formula spit out. There are some things that I definitely want to change for future use of this formula, but for now I give you this:

Rank LW Team W L Win % PD/G Avg Rnk Score
1 2 Tennessee 5 0 1.00 11.80 1.19 2720.00
2 1 NY Giants 4 1 0.80 11.40 2.63 972.19
3 7 Pittsburgh 4 1 0.80 4.80 2.75 736.00
4 3 Buffalo 4 1 0.80 4.40 5.38 370.60
5 12 Washington 4 2 0.67 1.50 6.56 223.49
6 8 Tampa Bay 4 2 0.67 7.33 8.69 213.59
7 4 Dallas 4 2 0.67 5.67 8.31 209.86
8 20 Arizona 4 2 0.67 5.50 9.63 180.09
9 17 Indianapolis 3 2 0.60 3.40 8.13 176.49
10 11 Carolina 4 2 0.67 3.33 10.50 151.32
11 14 Denver 4 2 0.67 2.00 11.69 128.34
12 6 San Diego 3 3 0.50 6.50 11.31 119.34
13 5 Philadelphia 3 3 0.50 7.33 13.00 107.05
14 25 Atlanta 4 2 0.67 2.00 14.38 104.35
15 19 NY Jets 3 2 0.60 2.20 15.31 88.95
16 9 New Orleans 3 3 0.50 6.50 16.69 80.90
17 16 Jacksonville 3 3 0.50 -0.67 13.31 74.49
18 15 Chicago 3 3 0.50 6.50 18.38 73.47
19 10 Green Bay 3 3 0.50 2.50 18.69 61.54
20 18 New England 3 2 0.60 -4.00 16.13 61.40
21 21 Minnesota 3 3 0.50 -1.00 19.94 48.90
22 24 Miami 2 3 0.40 0.80 23.25 36.65
23 13 Baltimore 2 3 0.40 -1.80 22.13 33.81
24 26 Cleveland 2 3 0.40 -2.20 22.31 32.81
25 23 San Francisco 2 4 0.33 -4.33 27.00 19.96
26 27 Houston 1 4 0.20 -9.20 25.63 8.82
27 22 Seattle 1 4 0.20 -10.20 25.81 7.98
28 28 Oakland 1 4 0.20 -10.80 28.88 6.72
29 29 Kansas City 1 4 0.20 -13.20 29.81 4.90
30 30 Cincinnati 0 6 0.00 -9.33 30.38 0.37
31 31 Detroit 0 5 0.00 -16.60 31.63 0.12
32 32 St. Louis 1 4 0.20 -20.40 28.63 0.07

Legend: W-Wins, L-Losses, PD/G- Point Differential per Game, Score-The number my formula gave me for each team.

NFL Power Rankings (Week 4)

I would like to point out one thing that Megan Manfull wrote recently: “Since the Texans joined the league in 2002, 31 teams have started a season 0-3. Only one of those teams — the 2004 Buffalo Bills — went on to record a winning record by finishing 9-7. Only two others finished .500.”

RK LW Team W L Comment
1 1 Giants 3 0 Ha. I’m to only one who’s consistently had them on top. Still the Champs.
2 9 Titans 4 0 3 home games and opponents are 3-12, but they’re winning by an average of 14 points, which leads the league.
3 11 Bills 4 0 The Bills have been big in the 4th quarter, and are winning by 11.5 per game, which is third in the league behind the Titans and Giants.
4 2 Cowboys 3 1 Let’s be honest. They’re still one of the best in the league. One stumble won’t hurt, unless T.O. stays P.O.ed.
5 5 Eagles 2 2 Only a .500 record but still 4th in the league in terms of point differential per game.
6 14 Chargers 2 2 They look like they’re bouncing back from a bad start.
7 3 Steelers 3 1 Though they’re 3-1, the Steelers are only +19 in point differential, which is only 4.75 per game.
8 16 Buccaneers 3 1 The Buccs are only a little better at +6.75 per game, but their 3-0 with Griese under center.
9 13 Saints 2 2 Deuce is back, which should help this offense immensely.
10 6 Packers 2 2 We’ll see what happens if Aaron Rodgers can’t play this week.
11 8 Panthers 3 1 Only one loss, but only +2.5 for their point differential average per game.
12 23 Redskins 3 1 Another one loss team with a low point differential (+5) giving them only a 1.25 average margin of victory.
13 17 Ravens 2 1 Baltimore is better than I thought but that close loss the close loss to Pittsburgh hurts.
14 12 Broncos 3 1 The defense needs to start playing better, because a loss to KC should not be acceptable.
15 15 Bears 2 2 The looked good against Philly. Can they keep it up?
16 22 Jaguars 2 2 They bounced back from their 0-2 start, but in their two wins they’ve had to come from behind.
17 4 Colts 1 2 Get it together. Now. Getting Houston this week should help.
18 7 Patriots 2 1 A -9 point differential and a loss to Miami got the Pats stuck here.
19 18 Jets 2 2 The offense looks good but the defense… well, doesn’t. 115 points scored, 116 points allowed.
20 10 Cardinals 2 2 The o-line needs to step it up in pass protection. They’ll hope to hand the Bills their first loss when they come to town this week.
21 19 Vikings 1 3 Disappointing would be an understatement. They face the Saints on MNF this week, and they need to win.
22 21 Seahawks 1 2 They got some receivers back with their BYE week, but the defense needs to help them out.
23 25 49ers 2 2 The Pats are coming off a BYE and are angry after a loss to Miami. The o-line needs to protect O’Sullivan better to give them a chance.
24 31 Dolphins 1 2 They upset the Pats in week 3. Can they do the same to the Chargers this week?
25 24 Falcons 2 2 They’re better than most anybody expected but I only see them winning one more game. That’s right. One more.
26 20 Browns 1 3 They have a BYE week, which they’ll need to work miracles to continue to dig out of the hole from their 0-3 start.
27 26 Texans 0 3 Houston has the third worst points differential per game average in the league at -14.33, the Colts will look to make that number even worse.
28 27 Raiders 1 3 This team has a lot of spirit. Can that carry them through the mess that is Al Davis?
29 30 Chiefs 1 3 Did you really just beat the Broncos? Wow. Well, at least you won’t have a winless season.
30 29 Bengals 0 4 The Bengals should be happy that the Lions and Rams exist, because this team would be worth of a bottom ranking if it weren’t for those two.
31 28 Lions 0 3 The two teams I mentioned that Houston has a better average point differential than? The Lions are one of them at -18 points per game. At least they got rid of Millen.
32 32 Rams 0 4 The other team worse than the Texans in point differential per game? These Rams are losing by an AVERAGE of 26 points per game. They’re overall point differential is -104. How do you do that in just 4 games? They are getting Donnie Avery involved though.
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