2010 NFL Mock Draft XV (03/01)

Well it’s been nearly a month since my last mock draft, but I hope the fact that this one has three rounds will make up for the fact that I only put up one mock draft in the entire month of February. Like last time, I will be taking into account the input of the commenters for this one, and will do the same for the next one. I know you’re excited. I will again be providing my reasoning and thoughts on some of the picks at the bottom, after the actual mock itself. To see how things have progressed with my 2010 mock drafts take a look back at IIIIIIIVVVI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, and XIV. Here is the fifteenth

Rnd Pick Team Player Pos School
1 1 St Louis Eric Berry SS Tennessee
1 2 Detroit Ndamukong Suh DT Nebraska
1 3 Tampa Bay Gerald McCoy DT Oklahoma
1 4 Washington Bryan Bulaga OT Iowa
1 5 Kansas City Rolando McClain ILB Alabama
1 6 Seattle Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
1 7 Cleveland Joe Haden CB Florida
1 8 Oakland Russell Okung OT Oklahoma State
1 9 Buffalo Anthony Davis OT Rutgers
1 10 Jacksonville Dez Bryant WR Oklahoma State
1 11 Denver Carlos Dunlap DE Florida
1 12 Miami Dan Williams DT Tennessee
1 13 San Francisco Trent Williams OT Oklahoma
1 14 Seattle C.J. Spiller RB Clemson
1 15 NY Giants Earl Thomas FS Texas
1 16 Tennessee Derrick Morgan DE Georgia Tech
1 17 San Francisco Mike Iupati OG Idaho
1 18 Pittsburgh Maurkice Pouncey OG Florida
1 19 Atlanta Brandon Graham DE Michigan
1 20 Houston Jonathan Dwyer RB Georgia Tech
1 21 Cincinnati Golden Tate WR Notre Dame
1 22 New England Ricky Sapp OLB Clemson
1 23 Green Bay Bruce Campbell OT Maryland
1 24 Philadelphia Taylor Mays SS USC
1 25 Baltimore Devin McCourty CB Rutgers
1 26 Arizona Jimmy Clausen QB Notre Dame
1 27 Dallas Charles Brown OT USC
1 28 San Diego Jared Odrick DE Penn State
1 29 NY Jets Kyle Wilson CB Boise State
1 30 Minnesota Jahvid Best RB California
1 31 Indianapolis Sergio Kindle OLB Texas
1 32 New Orleans Jason Pierre-Paul DE South Florida
* * * * * * * * ROUND 2 * * * * * * * *
2 33 St Louis Everson Griffen DE USC
2 34 Detroit Corey Wootton DE Northwestern
2 35 Tampa Bay Jerry Hughes DE TCU
2 36 Kansas City Vladimir Ducasse OG Massachusetts
2 37 Washington Colt McCoy QB Texas
2 38 Cleveland Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
2 39 Oakland Sean Weatherspoon OLB Missouri
2 40 Seattle Brian Price DT UCLA
2 41 Buffalo Brandon Spikes ILB Florida
2 42 New England Daryl Washington ILB TCU
2 43 Miami Brandon LaFell WR LSU
2 44 Tampa Bay Damian Williams WR USC
2 45 Denver Patrick Robinson CB Florida State
2 46 NY Giants Aaron Hernandez TE Florida
2 47 New England Ryan Mathews RB Fresno State
2 48 Carolina Jason Worilds DE Virginia Tech
2 49 San Francisco Dexter McCluster WR Mississippi
2 50 Houston JD Williams OG Baylor
2 51 Kansas City Morgan Burnett SS Georgia Tech
2 52 Pittsburgh Dominique Franks CB Oklahoma
2 53 New England Alex Carrington DE Arkansas State
2 54 Cincinnati Rob Gronkowski TE Arizona
2 55 Philadelphia Syd’Quan Thompson CB California
2 56 Green Bay Navorro Bowman OLB Penn State
2 57 Baltimore Nate Allen FS South Florida
2 58 Arizona Greg Hardy OLB Mississippi
2 59 Dallas Perrish Cox CB Oklahoma State
2 60 San Diego Jason Fox OT Miami
2 61 NY Jets John Jerry OG Mississippi
2 62 Minnesota Tyson Alualu DT California
2 63 Indianapolis Terrence Cody DT Alabama
2 64 New Orleans Anthony Dixon RB Mississippi State
* * * * * * * * ROUND 3 * * * * * * * *
3 65 St Louis Arrelious Benn WR Illinois
3 66 Detroit Jerome Murphy CB South Florida
3 67 Tampa Bay Sean Lee OLB Penn State
3 68 Kansas City Jon Asamoah OG Illinois
3 69 Oakland Tony Pike QB Cincinnati
3 70 Philadelphia Eric Norwood OLB South Carolina
3 71 Cleveland Dan LeFevour QB Central Michigan
3 72 Buffalo Cam Thomas DT North Carolina
3 73 Miami Koa Misi OLB Utah
3 74 Chicago T.J. Ward SS Oregon
3 75 Jacksonville Chad Jones SS LSU
3 76 NY Giants Erik Cook C New Mexico
3 77 Carolina Carlton Mitchell WR South Florida
3 78 Tennessee Demaryius Thomas WR Georgia Tech
3 79 San Francisco Kareem Jackson CB Alabama
3 80 Denver Marshawn Gilyard WR Cincinnati
3 81 Atlanta Amari Spievey CB Iowa
3 82 Pittsburgh Reshad Jones FS Georgia
3 83 Houston Lamarr Houston DT Texas
3 84 Cincinnati Matt Tennant OG Boston College
3 85 Oakland Rodger Saffold OG Indiana
3 86 Green Bay Donovan Warren CB Michigan
3 87 Philadelphia Brandon Lang DE Troy
3 88 Baltimore Dezmon Briscoe WR Kansas
3 89 Arizona Ed Dickson TE Oregon
3 90 Dallas Jordan Shipley WR Texas
3 91 San Diego Toby Gerhart RB Stanford
3 92 Cleveland Selvish Capers OT West Virginia
3 93 Minnesota Brandon Ghee CB Wake Forest
3 94 Indianapolis Mike Johnson OT Alabama
3 95 New Orleans Jimmy Graham TE Miami

Now for my thoughts:

  • I’m still sticking with Berry as the top pick. I just can’t get away from this quite yet. As I said before I think that’s where he deserves to be drafted and I think he is more of a momentum-shifting, game-changing player than Suh. I actually do think the Rams should take Eric Berry because the Rams are second to last in the NFL in terms of opponents passer ratings, they’re 28th in yards per passing attempt allowed and have the fewest interceptions in the league… the only reason they aren’t worse in total passing yards and passing TDs allowed is because opponents get a big enough lead in the first quarter and just run the rest of the game. Only 463 pass attempts against them this year and 468 runs, which -don’t quote me on it but- is one of the worst ratios in the league (it’s at least in the bottom five)… and that’s despite the fact that they’ve played pass-happy teams (Colts, Saints, Texans, Cardinals, and I guess you could throw the Packers and Lions in there as well) so I truly think a guy like Eric Berry would be most beneficial for the Rams.
  • Bryan Bulaga has jumped Russell Okung on my board as the top OT in the draft, so the Redskins take Bulaga this time around.
  • Similarly Sam Bradford jumped Jimmy Clausen and is picked by Seattle at six, while Clausen falls all the way to Arizona at 26. I have the Cardinals taking a quarterback here because with Kurt Warner retiring this will provide some competition for Matt Leinart to get the starting job.
  • I really just can’t decide what to do with the Cleveland pick. I keep bouncing back and forth between Dez Bryant and Joe Haden. So I hope all of you Browns fans keep the debate over this going on in the comments because I’m sure one of you will eventually convince me to decide on one or the other.
  • One of our frequent commenters, Chappy, said that he wants his Raiders to go o-line with their first pick, so they grabbed Okung.
  • With Cleveland taking Haden this time, Bryant fell to the Jaguars at 11 because they desperately need a legit threat at wide out.
  • Taylor Mays is slipping down the draft board. I’ve been telling everyone for over a year now that Eric Berry is clearly better than Mays, and now finally people are seeing just how right I am/was. Mays gets picked up by the Eagles at 24. They’ve needed help at safety ever since Brian Dawkins went to the Broncos. Maybe Mays can help.
  • I have Minnesota grabbing Jahvid Best at 30, and I don’t know how convinced I am that this is a realistic pick, but add Best as a complimentary and change of pace back to Adrian Peterson and they would be the most dangerous tandem in the NFL. This will also help keep AP healthy and fresh throughout the entire season.
  • I have my Colts grabbing Sergio Kindle out of Texas. I had to have a huge debate in my mind between Kindle and Sean Weatherspoon from Missouri. I think both have a lot of potential to succeed in the NFL but Kindle’s draft stock seems to be rising while Weatherspoon’s is dropping. And as I’m sitting here writing this I’m considering changing it again. Ugh. I dunno. I’d be happy with either.
  • Four defensive ends taken in a row? Kinda weird, but it’s how I see the chips falling.
  • The Browns grab Jermaine Gresham in the second round, which should help their offense get a little more fire power and, Gresham could help stanch the bleeding wound that was formed when the Browns lost Kellen Winslow.
  • The Dolphins grab wide receiver, Brandon LaFell in the second round to add some much needed weapons to their passing offense.
  • The Colts go defense in the second round as well, grabbing Terrence Cody in the second round and though he doesn’t fit the form for the typical Colt lineman he would be a huge boost to the run defense.
  • The Rams get a steal in the third round, grabbing Arrelious Benn to line up opposite Donnie Avery.
  • Denver grabs the speed demon, known as Marshawn Gilyard, to add to their receiving corp. This is with the assumption that a certain wide receiver will no longer be in Denver by the time the draft comes around.
  • The Ravens grab Dezmon Briscoe to boost the arsenal that Joe Flacco has to work with.
  • The Chargers snag Toby Gerhart, keeping him in the state of California. This will also help replace LaDanian Tomlinson and Darren Sproles.
  • My Colts finally shift to the offensive side of the ball in the third round, and grab another member of Alabama’s National Championship team. Hopefully Mike Johnson will end up being better than the last SEC offensive lineman the Colts drafted.

Let me know your thoughts in the comment section below.

Rnd Pick Team Player Pos School
1 1 St Louis Eric Berry SS Tennessee
1 2 Detroit Ndamukong Suh DT Nebraska
1 3 Tampa Bay Gerald McCoy DT Oklahoma
1 4 Washington Bryan Bulaga OT Iowa
1 5 Kansas City Rolando McClain ILB Alabama
1 6 Seattle Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
1 7 Cleveland Joe Haden CB Florida
1 8 Oakland Russell Okung OT Oklahoma State
1 9 Buffalo Anthony Davis OT Rutgers
1 10 Denver Carlos Dunlap DE Florida
1 11 Jacksonville Dez Bryant WR Oklahoma State
1 12 Miami Dan Williams DT Tennessee
1 13 San Francisco Trent Williams OT Oklahoma
1 14 Seattle C.J. Spiller RB Clemson
1 15 NY Giants Earl Thomas FS Texas
1 16 Tennessee Derrick Morgan DE Georgia Tech
1 17 San Francisco Mike Iupati OG Idaho
1 18 Pittsburgh Maurkice Pouncey OG Florida
1 19 Atlanta Brandon Graham DE Michigan
1 20 Houston Jonathan Dwyer RB Georgia Tech
1 21 Cincinnati Golden Tate WR Notre Dame
1 22 New England Ricky Sapp OLB Clemson
1 23 Green Bay Bruce Campbell OT Maryland
1 24 Philadelphia Taylor Mays SS USC
1 25 Baltimore Devin McCourty CB Rutgers
1 26 Arizona Jimmy Clausen QB Notre Dame
1 27 Dallas Charles Brown OT USC
1 28 San Diego Jared Odrick DE Penn State
1 29 NY Jets Kyle Wilson CB Boise State
1 30 Minnesota Jahvid Best RB California
1 31 Indianapolis Sergio Kindle OLB Texas
1 32 New Orleans Jason Pierre-Paul DE South Florida
* * * * * * * * ROUND 2 * * * * * * * *
2 33 St Louis Everson Griffen DE USC
2 34 Detroit Corey Wootton DE Northwestern
2 35 Tampa Bay Jerry Hughes DE TCU
2 36 Kansas City Vladimir Ducasse OG Massachusetts
2 37 Washington Colt McCoy QB Texas
2 38 Cleveland Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
2 39 Oakland Sean Weatherspoon OLB Missouri
2 40 Seattle Brian Price DT UCLA
2 41 Buffalo Brandon Spikes ILB Florida
2 42 New England Daryl Washington ILB TCU
2 43 Miami Brandon LaFell WR LSU
2 44 Tampa Bay Damian Williams WR USC
2 45 Denver Patrick Robinson CB Florida State
2 46 NY Giants Aaron Hernandez TE Florida
2 47 New England Ryan Mathews RB Fresno State
2 48 Carolina Jason Worilds DE Virginia Tech
2 49 San Francisco Dexter McCluster WR Mississippi
2 50 Houston Rodger Saffold OG Indiana
2 51 Kansas City Morgan Burnett SS Georgia Tech
2 52 Pittsburgh Dominique Franks CB Oklahoma
2 53 New England Alex Carrington DE Arkansas State
2 54 Cincinnati Rob Gronkowski TE Arizona
2 55 Philadelphia Syd’Quan Thompson CB California
2 56 Green Bay Navorro Bowman OLB Penn State
2 57 Baltimore Nate Allen FS South Florida
2 58 Arizona Greg Hardy OLB Mississippi
2 59 Dallas Perrish Cox CB Oklahoma State
2 60 San Diego Jason Fox OT Miami
2 61 NY Jets John Jerry OG Mississippi
2 62 Minnesota Tyson Alualu DT California
2 63 Indianapolis Terrence Cody DT Alabama
2 64 New Orleans Anthony Dixon RB Mississippi State
* * * * * * * * ROUND 3 * * * * * * * *
3 65 St Louis Arrelious Benn WR Illinois
3 66 Detroit Jerome Murphy CB South Florida
3 67 Tampa Bay Sean Lee OLB Penn State
3 68 Kansas City Jon Asamoah OG Illinois
3 69 Oakland Tony Pike QB Cincinnati
3 70 Philadelphia Eric Norwood OLB South Carolina
3 71 Cleveland Dan LeFevour QB Central Michigan
3 72 Buffalo Cam Thomas DT North Carolina
3 73 Miami Koa Misi OLB Utah
3 74 Chicago T.J. Ward SS Oregon
3 75 Jacksonville Chad Jones SS LSU
3 76 NY Giants J.D. Walton C Baylor
3 77 Carolina Carlton Mitchell WR South Florida
3 78 Tennessee Demaryius Thomas WR Georgia Tech
3 79 San Francisco Kareem Jackson CB Alabama
3 80 Denver Marshawn Gilyard WR Cincinnati
3 81 Atlanta Amari Spievey CB Iowa
3 82 Pittsburgh Reshad Jones FS Georgia
3 83 Houston Lamarr Houston DT Texas
3 84 Cincinnati Matt Tennant OG Boston College
3 85 Oakland Rodger Saffold OG Indiana
3 86 Green Bay Donovan Warren CB Michigan
3 87 Philadelphia Brandon Lang DE Troy
3 88 Baltimore Dezmon Briscoe WR Kansas
3 89 Arizona Ed Dickson TE Oregon
3 90 Dallas Jordan Shipley WR Texas
3 91 San Diego Toby Gerhart RB Stanford
3 92 Cleveland Selvish Capers OT West Virginia
3 93 Minnesota Brandon Ghee CB Wake Forest
3 94 Indianapolis Mike Johnson OT Alabama
3 95 New Orleans Jimmy Graham TE Miami

27 Responses

  1. colts 18

    Boy are you going out on a limb concerning the Bucs and Gerald McCoy .

    The organization (front office) hasn’t got two brass farthings to rub together let alone afford a roll of tissue paper but yet you expect them to pick him and then pay the guy anywhere between $25- $30 million as a signing bonus ?

    Good luck on that thought process !

    Alan Parkins

  2. You were added to the database this morning. http://www.nlsff.com. I also wanted to give you some props on going a different direction on your top 5. I think making changes and differences then all these cookie cutters takes some stones and you did that.

    Nice
    Mike

    • Thanks, Mike! Both for adding us to your database and for the compliment on going away from the norm and against the grain a bit. I like to think that I make just enough changes to make my mock stand out.

  3. I’m a Bucs fan & can’t see their passing up a corner or another WR or even an OT in order to select an OLB in round 3.

    • Mike J

      Bully for you but consider this , given the team’s notion that they won’t be testing the ‘free agency market’ , where do you think they’ll be going way of the draft ? It’s common knowledge that they’re hemorrhaging red ink in all of the sporting interests. So you tell me what they’ll end up doing ?

      Do you honestly see them not trading down , which’ll be to their benefit overall ?

      Alan Parkins

  4. I don’t think Denver will take a WR at 11 even if Marshall is gone, given how painfully obvious it was that they were not big enough on the lines and weak at the ILB spot. Besides, everytime they threw to Marshall more than 10 times in a game they lost.

  5. browns need d not a te or wr. especially gresham who has 2 rebuilt knees. to much of a health risk. dizzy bryant to much of an idiot head case

  6. I sort of like all three of the Seahawks picks, in that each of them fills a need, but one of them has to make way for an O-lineman, preferably a left tackle.

    Last year you put up a post showing the probable compensatory picks that might be awarded. Any chance of that this year?

    • I might try to do that again this year, yes… I’d kind of forgotten that I had done that last year, but now that you’ve brought it up again I’m sure I can hash it out.

  7. I think the first two picks for the Colts are way off. Indy hasn’t taken a LB in the first round since Rob Morris in 99. LB’s are expendable in the Colts defenseive scheme, so it makes little sense to use a first rounder on one. Add on top of that the emergence of Clint Session this past season and the likelihood of Gary Brackett’s extension means LB dosen’t need to be addressed until later in the draft.

    Terrence Cody lacks the necessary speed and athleticism the one-gap speedy Colts D demands. The pick would probably end up like Terrance Taylor last year, cut before the season even started; not something you want happening with a second round pick.

    • I see your points, but who would you suggest taking in those spots instead? In my opinion the Colts biggest need is at offensive tackle and there wasn’t one available worth taking at either of those spots. After that the two biggest needs are OLB and DT.

    • Polian said in an interview at the Combine that the strength of DT and OT at the top will allow skill players to fall to 31. To me, this says a couple of potential things. One would be taking a WR or CB, depending on how free agency shakes out. Another possibility is trading out of the first round into the top of the second to get a top rated TE to bring back the Singleback Deuce set that was effective during Peyton Manning’s early years. Another possiblity would be a Guard/Center.

      Predicting Polian is hard because he so often takes players that aren’t a need. The only near-consistent thing he does is not draft DT and OLB in round 1

    • Hmmm… good to know… do you really think we’d take a receiver though? With Wayne, Collie and Garcon, plus the return of Gonzalez, I just don’t see why we’d need to take a receiver in the first round. I also think we’re pretty solid at CB.

    • I think anything is a possibility. When we drafted Reggie WR wasn’t seen as a big need, so with that I mind I think WR might be a possibility. I think corner is a possibility because Marlin is coming off his second injury in 2 years, so while he’ll probably be kept for cheap, there are questions about durability. Jennings and Rushing are expected to be released, so CB depth is definetly a need since we’d only have 3-4 proven corners. I think CB is a better chance than WR.

      I do have a nagging gut feeling that someone in the top of the second, maybe Cleveland because they have the capital (I think 11 or 12 picks) will want back into the first for someone and that Polian will take advantage and move back into the top of the second, since there is little difference talent-wise between the top of the second and the bottom of the first.

    • Hmmm, yeah corner probably does make the most sense… what do you think the chances are that we trade up and grab a guy like Devin McCourty or Kyle Wilson rather than trading down to get Patrick Robinson or somebody else?

    • I would say slim to none. We only have 6 picks in this draft and trading up in the first round is more expensive. I’d say it’s more likely we either take someone at 31 or, my personal hope, someone wants back into the first and we can get the same caliber player at the top of the second while getting an additional pick in rounds 4-6

    • If we were to take a player at 31, is there anyone specific that you hope we would get?

    • Not in your first round. All the players that I think the Colts would like to take are already off the board. I could see Polian pulling the trigger on Gresham or Ducasse, but I think in the situation you have outlined he tries to get out.

    • What about of the players already off the board?

  8. Do you expect Rodger Saffold to have a better season with Oakland or Houston?

  9. Wow. This certainly deviates from most other mocks I have seen. Does this represent what you think teams should do or what they will do?

    I can’t see the Rams picking Berry and then paying him $60 – $70 million. Don’t you think it is much more likely they will draft Bradford?

    • You know, that’s a really good point that you bring up… For right now I’d say it’s what I think the teams should do… In my opinion until the combine is done and the compensatory picks have been distributed it’s just too hard to try to know what the teams are actually thinking, so without leaving any gray area I’d say it’s what I think they should do, but also a bit of what I think they will do.

  10. This mock is awful. That’s all i have to say.

    • This comment is awful. That’s all I have to say.

  11. OK. First off I know Eric Berry is one of the best players in this years draft, but explain to me why he deserves to be paid $50 million gaurunteed. Part of the reason the Rams are so bad against the pass is because they have no pass rush. How was their offense this year? Marc Bulger, Kyle Boller and Keith Null ringing any bells in your head. The Rams HAVE to go QB first overall. I have a feeling they don’t like Clausen so that just leaves Bradford. The Rams will have to take a good look at him on his pro day and how his arm feels. I know Bradford isn’t without baggage (injuries, weak arm, spread offense in college), but he can sit behind someone year one, learn the offense and come in his sophmore year and play. I like Clausen more than Bradford personally, but the Rams have made it quite clear that they like Bradford more. Now if Bradford does terrible on his pro day, then the Rams may not be willing to pay him #1 money and may take someone else, or trade back as they have said they’ve not ruled that out. All I am saying is yeah Berry is awesome and deserves lots of money, but no Safety is getting $50 million gaurunteed and how many QBs are?

  12. I do like your KC chiefs pick as it seems like Pioli always drafts someone who fits the scheme. And you might as well lock Bruce Campbell in Oakland at #8. Al Davis showed last year he isn’t afraid of taking a player who is a freakish athlete that fills a need. It was interesting to see you having Bulaga rated better than Okung. I was just wondering if you could explain why.

  13. […] putting up one more round, so I did. Like last time, I will be taking into account the input of the commenters for this one, and will do the same for the next one. I know you’re excited. I will again be […]

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