2010 NFL Mock Draft XI (01/14)

It’s been about two weeks since my last mock draft and some things have definitely changed since then so it’s time for a new one. As I have done with the past few I will be taking into account the input from the commenters on the last mock. As usual, I will be determining my draft order based off of Bryan’s awesome, weekly post that shows exactly what the draft order would be if the season were to end today. To see how things have progressed with my 2010 mock drafts take a look back at IIIIIIIVVVI, VII, VIII, IX and X. Here is the eleventh installment:

Pick Team Player Pos School
1 St Louis Eric Berry FS Tennessee
2 Detroit Ndamukong Suh DT Nebraska
3 Tampa Bay Gerald McCoy DT Oklahoma
4 Washington Russell Okung OT Oklahoma State
5 Kansas City Taylor Mays SS USC
6 Seattle Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
7 Cleveland Joe Haden CB Florida
8 Oakland Jimmy Clausen QB Notre Dame
9 Buffalo Rolando McClain OLB Alabama
10 Denver* Brandon Spikes ILB Florida
11 Jacksonville Dez Bryant WR Oklahoma State
12 Miami Brandon LaFell WR LSU
13 San Francisco Anthony Davis OT Rutgers
14 Seattle** C.J. Spiller RB Clemson
15 NY Giants Jared Odrick DT Penn State
16 San Francisco*** Dan Williams DT Tennessee
17 Tennessee Brandon Graham DE Michigan
18 Pittsburgh Patrick Robinson CB Florida State
19 Atlanta Carlos Dunlap DE Florida
20 Houston Sean Weatherspoon OLB Missouri
21 Cincinnati Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
22 New England Tim Tebow Misc Florida
23 Green Bay Bryan Bulaga OT Iowa
24 Philadelphia Corey Wootton DE Northwestern
25 NY Jets Trent Williams OG Oklahoma
26 Baltimore Mike Iupati OG Idaho
27 Arizona Jerry Hughes OLB TCU
28 Dallas Charles Brown OT USC
29 Minnesota Colt McCoy QB Texas
30 San Diego Jonathan Dwyer RB Georgia Tech
31 New Orleans Jon Asamoah OT Illinois
32 Indianapolis Terrence Cody DT Alabama
* Chicago traded their first-round pick along with their 2009 first- and third-round selections, and quarterback Kyle Orton to Denver for quarterback Jay Cutler and a 2009 fifth-round selection.
** Denver traded their first-round pick to Seattle for Seattle’s 2009 second-round selection (37th overall, used to select Alphonso Smith).
*** Carolina traded their first-round pick to San Francisco for San Francisco’s 2009 second-round selection (43rd overall, used to select Everette Brown) and their 2009 fourth-round selection (111th overall, used to select Mike Goodson).

Now for a few comments:

  • I’m still sticking with Berry as the top pick. As I said before I think that’s where he deserves to be drafted and I think he is more of a momentum-shifting, game-changing player than Suh. I actually do think the Rams should take Eric Berry (actually what I really think is that Eric Berry should come back for his senior year… I can dream, right?) because the Rams are second to last in the NFL in terms of opponents passer ratings, they’re 28th in yards per passing attempt allowed and have the fewest interceptions in the league… the only reason they aren’t worse in total passing yards and passing TDs allowed is because opponents get a big enough lead in the first quarter and just run the rest of the game. Only 463 pass attempts against them this year and 468 runs, which -don’t quote me on it but- is one of the worst ratios in the league (it’s at least in the bottom five)… and that’s despite the fact that they’ve played pass-happy teams (Colts, Saints, Texans, Cardinals, and I guess you could throw the Packers and Lions in there as well) so I truly think a guy like Eric Berry would be most beneficial for the Rams.
  • Our faithful Redskins commenter didn’t seem to like the Spiller pick last time around and also doesn’t want a quarterback, but has made it clear that offensive tackle is the direction they need to go. I agree completely, so Washington took Okung and instead Spiller fell way down to 14th with the Seahawks.
  • I’ll be interested to see what our Seahawks fanbase thinks about the Bradford pick. I think if he’s there then there’s a decent chance they take him. Also, I know we had a Seattle fan mention last time that they should take an offensive linemen at some point in the first round, but I’m gonna need to be sold on that a little more before I have them grab one of the linemen available.
  • We had someone mention that the Browns should either grab Berry or Haden, and with Berry already being off the board and Haden still being there made this an easy decision.
  • The Raiders grab Jimmy Clausen, which I think makes sense because JaMarcus Russell just isn’t panning out, granted I don’t see anybody or anything panning out in Oakland until the crazy old man is gone, but this is where I see them going with this pick. I’m not completely sold on it, so if you have other thoughts, I can be swayed.
  • I learned my lesson a few mock drafts back when I gave Miami an offensive tackle so this time they get Brandon LaFell to upgrade their receiving corps.
  • And yes, I still have the patriots taking tim tebow. As I said last time, I am doing this for several reasons, the first of which is that I’ve seen it done on at least two other mock drafts (one is here) and one of them was a site centered around the new england patriots draft. The other reason is because I would absolutely love to see this actually happen.
  • I think Colt McCoy is an interesting pick with the Vikings and I’m eager to hear some thoughts on it. Brett Favre has to retire eventually and he certainly won’t be around too terribly much long (or at least I hope not) so even if he does stick with the Vikings, McCoy will be able to learn under him and if he does actually retire this year then the Vikings will need a new quarterback anyhow.
  • I’ve seen Terrence Cody sliding down on quite a few people’s draft boards due to “poor conditioning and work ethic,” which basically means if he goes to a well structured team (the Colts) that won’t put up with that nonsense (the Colts) then he can still be successful. This makes my mouth water because he could make a massive impact (pun intended) on the Indy defense.

Pick Team Player Pos School
1 St Louis Eric Berry FS Tennessee
2 Detroit Ndamukong Suh DT Nebraska
3 Tampa Bay Gerald McCoy DT Oklahoma
4 Washington Russell Okung OT Oklahoma State
5 Kansas City Taylor Mays SS USC
6 Seattle Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
7 Cleveland Joe Haden CB Florida
8 Oakland Jimmy Clausen QB Notre Dame
9 Buffalo Rolando McClain OLB Alabama
10 Denver* Brandon Spikes ILB Florida
11 Jacksonville Dez Bryant WR Oklahoma State
12 Miami Brandon LaFell WR LSU
13 San Francisco Anthony Davis OT Rutgers
14 Seattle** C.J. Spiller RB Clemson
15 NY Giants Jared Odrick DT Penn State
16 San Francisco*** Dan Williams DT Tennessee
17 Tennessee Brandon Graham DE Michigan
18 Pittsburgh Patrick Robinson CB Florida State
19 Atlanta Carlos Dunlap DE Florida
20 Houston Sean Weatherspoon OLB Missouri
21 Cincinnati Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
22 New England Tim Tebow QB Florida
23 Green Bay Bryan Bulaga OT Iowa
24 Philadelphia Corey Wootton DE Northwestern
25 NY Jets Trent Williams OG Oklahoma
26 Baltimore Mike Iupati OG Idaho
27 Arizona Jerry Hughes OLB TCU
28 Dallas Charles Brown OT USC
29 Minnesota Colt McCoy QB Texas
30 San Diego Jonathan Dwyer RB Georgia Tech
31 New Orleans Jon Asamoah OT Illinois
32 Indianapolis Terrence Cody DT Alabama
* Chicago traded their first-round pick along with their 2009 first- and third-round selections, and quarterback Kyle Orton to Denver for quarterback Jay Cutler and a 2009 fifth-round selection.
** Denver traded their first-round pick to Seattle for Seattle’s 2009 second-round selection (37th overall, used to select Alphonso Smith).
*** Carolina traded their first-round pick to San Francisco for San Francisco’s 2009 second-round selection (43rd overall, used to select Everette Brown) and their 2009 fourth-round selection (111th overall, used to select Mike Goodson).

15 Responses

  1. I have no idea at this point who the Raiders should pick. They aren’t even sure if they have a coach at the moment. If Cable somehow stays, they probably will pick a QB, but my gut tells me they’ll try to trade or sign a QB, because Al loves vets. They should pick up an O-linemen. We saw Charlie Frye and Gradkowski get murdered back there just like Russell, but they actually got the ball out first, so their stats weren’t quite as bad…

    • I can see the Raiders picking up Vick at which point they can then pick up one of the linemen available hoping that one of the glut of good LB’s available falls to them in round 2.

      Weatherstone to Houston is a great pick. I’d hate to be in their division the way they are going with their drafts over the last few years.

  2. If the Rams bypass Suh, it will be to take a QB….Okung, Mays, & Spikes will not go so high…Pierre-Paul needs to be in there somewhere….about where the pro’s peg Colt McCoy from what I hear….Cody doesn’t fit in a cover-2 front, & may fall out of the 1st round IMO as he cannot get after a QB at his weight, & he has been much heavier in the past–big red flag.

  3. colts 18

    I wouldn’t take Jimmy Claussen that high at all ! He’s good but not that good as it was Golden Tate on the Irish team that made him somewhat more polished than he really is.

    Ndamokung Suh is my own personal choice to be the top draft pick in the upcoming draft. The ‘kid’ is a god-damn beast !

    Alan Parkins

  4. The Seahawks contingent will be more than happy with Spiller at pick 14. And personally, I like Sam Bradford, so this will work fine provided that we pick up some linemen in free agency that will mean that they won’t both get killed by week 5. (I’m assuming that Matt H will be injured week 2-3 regardless). We are fixed at WR, FB and TE and having a RB that can catch the ball is a novelty that should improve the passing attack.

    We aren’t likely to have two picks in Round 1 again in the next 5 years or so this is probably the time to take at least one luxury pick. Bradford I would count as a potential franchise QB that would justify a one-off luxury pick being used on him. (Clausen should drop like a stone and get picked up by the Rams in Round 2). To be fair, we were again screwed this year in the o-line department by injury. Wahle’s retirement just before the season start caused just as many problems as Walter Jones’ injury, and the two in combination was just a disaster. It can’t happen again for a third season in a row can it?

    It will be interesting to see if Pete Carroll can somehow convert his ex USC prodigy Lo Jackson into a legitimate starter at DE. That would be one major problem solved. That just leaves DT, S, CB to sort – with no 3rd round pick thanks to Ruskell’s duff trade to get Deon Butler last year.

  5. […] Bryan and Weller updated their mock and we will get it updated in the NMDD. […]

  6. Why can’t these mock draft guys get things right. Im a jet fan and even if they win the superbowl, they will draft at 21. The draft order has been set by the nfl.

    • Hey Zartan, thanks for the comment.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFL_Draft#Rules_for_determining_draft_order

      That’s a list of rules for determining the draft order, the Super Bowl winner will pick 32nd, the runner-up will pick 31st and then then they will go in the order they were eliminated from the playoffs. So, it’s far from determined yet.

    • http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=4015265

      That’s a more reliable source than Wikipedia, but it basically says the same thing.

  7. The only safety KC would pick that high is Berry but you have him gone so I’d bet it won’t be Mays. You also have my next choises os McCoy and Okung off the board so if this was a real draft I’d bet you would see one of those real deep “what are they drafting him that high for” classic Pioli picks so I’d have to guess its between McClain and Anthony Davis. Ill lean twords Davis

  8. I’ll be interested to see what our Seahawks fanbase thinks about the Bradford pick.

    This Hawk fan doesn’t like it. Personally, I don’t see ANY of the “top” QB’s this year as being worth our #14, let alone our #6. Just a bad year for QB’s…Bradford, McCoy and Teebow are all system QB’s in a system that doesn’t translate well in the NFL. (How many successful spread QB’s can YOU name in the NFL) and Clausen’s just not all that good, despite his numbers.
    If you were watching the Seahawk games this year (which means that you’re either a masochist or just plain hate the Hawks) you’d know that the biggest problem with this team is the O line, followed by the D line. Since the “top” talent at OT this year isn’t all that impressive either, but the D line talent is huge (no pun intended) I can see us going after McCoy (not Colt, for god’s sakes) or Morgan (how you don’t have him going in the first round is a mystery to me, unless it’s an oversight)
    My personal favorite is for them to trade down to the late teens or early 20’s, and get Iupati and Bulaga.
    Unless there’s a CBA in place this year, I don’t see us fixing our line with FA, not much there to get.
    Without a line, all the stud QB’s and RB’s in the world won’t do much but keep orthopedic surgeons employed…

    • Trading out of pick 6 probably won’t be an awful lot easier than trading out of pick 4 was last year. As usual, the options are limited by what others have to offer. San Fran picks 13/16 and their second rounder looks an option if they have given up with Alex Smith. That would give us four picks in the top 50 (and we could do with about 6). We’ve been quite good in the past at hopping down a few places at a time (but then ended up with some odd choices). Not having a third rounder doesn’t help.
      I agree with you re Tebow, McCoy and Clausen. Sam Bradford has been harder to evaluate this year due to the injury, but I think he’d adapt. I don’t like him at pick 6 either, incidentally, but the draft doesn’t allow for trading and if this draft shows picks 1-4 to have taken players that we could really do with, that leaves us selecting at 6 from Spiller, Haden, Bradford or one of the OT’s. That’s too early for any of them.
      If we assume that pick 14 has to be Iupati, which, assuming that we can’t trade down you might agree with, I think I’d go 6-Spiller 14-Iupati, and if your Morgan selection was still there take him in round 2 at pick 38. Then we’ve got to get help on defense later in Round 4. A compensatory pick for pro-bowler Leonard Weaver would help, but I’ve not seen any projections for that.

    • College spread QB ……..Drew Brees he seems pretty good.

  9. meaning 13 or 16, not both……

  10. […] Draft XII (01/21) Posted on January 21, 2010 by colts18 It’s been about two weeks since my last mock draft and some things have definitely changed since then so it’s time for a new one. As I have done […]

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