2008 NFL Power Rankings (Week 7)

As I mentioned in last week’s rankings, I recently created my own formula for determining an NFL Power Ranking. The magical formula that I used last time, included three main components: win percentage, point differential (on a per game average), and a compilation of multiple professional power ranking. I also admitted last time, that the formula wasn’t exactly perfect and that I would be tweaking it in order to make improvements. Well I quickly realized that there was a glaring hole in my formula. So I decided to take it to the next level and leave nothing, and with Bryan’s encouragement I found a way to work strength of schedule into my formula. As before, the “Score” column is just the number that my formula spit out. I don’t actually think the Titans are over six times better than the Bills, the “Score” does not reflect that. But here it is:

Rank LW Team W L SOS PD/G Avg Rnk Score
1 1 Tennessee 6 0 1.00 13.83 1.25 953.643
2 2 NY Giants 5 1 0.83 11.50 2.19 398.747
3 3 Pittsburgh 5 1 0.83 8.67 2.88 299.253
4 4 Buffalo 5 1 0.83 5.17 5.00 156.256
5 6 Tampa Bay 5 2 0.71 7.71 6.38 132.157
6 10 Carolina 5 2 0.71 6.14 7.63 100.433
7 5 Washington 5 2 0.71 1.71 6.50 95.841
8 8 Arizona 4 2 0.67 5.50 9.19 76.712
9 18 Chicago 4 3 0.57 6.57 12.94 48.175
10 13 Philadelphia 3 3 0.50 7.33 12.50 47.469
11 20 New England 4 2 0.67 2.33 10.50 47.009
12 14 Atlanta 4 2 0.67 2.00 13.13 41.318
13 19 Green Bay 4 3 0.57 5.00 12.75 41.267
14 7 Dallas 4 3 0.57 2.00 13.56 34.720
15 17 Jacksonville 3 3 0.50 -0.67 12.81 33.497
16 9 Indianapolis 3 3 0.50 -0.50 13.38 27.273
17 12 San Diego 3 4 0.43 4.29 16.06 27.212
18 11 Denver 4 3 0.57 -3.14 16.00 20.968
19 16 New Orleans 3 4 0.43 2.29 19.19 20.376
20 23 Baltimore 3 3 0.50 0.83 20.50 19.240
21 15 NY Jets 3 3 0.50 1.33 19.38 18.846
22 21 Minnesota 3 4 0.43 -1.86 21.19 13.795
23 24 Cleveland 2 4 0.33 -2.33 23.56 9.726
24 22 Miami 2 4 0.33 -1.67 24.69 9.178
25 26 Houston 2 4 0.33 -6.50 24.19 6.039
26 25 San Francisco 2 5 0.29 -5.43 28.50 4.575
27 28 Oakland 2 4 0.33 -8.50 27.31 3.978
28 27 Seattle 1 5 0.17 -10.17 27.00 1.672
29 32 St. Louis 2 4 0.33 -13.67 25.06 1.066
30 30 Cincinnati 0 7 0.00 -12.00 30.94 0.058
31 29 Kansas City 1 5 0.17 -15.00 30.25 0.032
32 31 Detroit 0 6 0.00 -15.00 31.63 0.002

Legend: W-Wins, L-Losses, SOS-Strength of Schedule, PD/G- Point Differential per Game, Score-The number my formula gave me for each team.

Let me know what you think of my formula and who’s the best among the 1-loss teams.

My NCAA Football Top 25 – Week 8

RK (LW) School Comment
1 1 Texas Oklahoma State and Texas Tech are up next. Can the Longhorns stay on top?
2 2 Alabama Go Vols!
3 3 Pennsylvania St Penn St faces the Buckeyes this week, which could be make or break for them.
4 6 Oklahoma The Sooners get a relatively easy three game stretch before facing Texas Tech and Oklahoma St in their last two games of the regular season.
5 10 Southern California The Trojans give up only 7.8 points per game and should win every game remaining on their schedule.
6 5 Oklahoma St. The Cowboys still have a lot of doubters, but they’ll get enough chances to prove themselves, with three of their last five games being against Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma.
7 4 Texas Tech The Red Raiders are in the same boat as the Cowboys. Everyone thinks they’re just posers, while Texas and Oklahoma are the class of the Big 12 South. It’ll be tough to prove them wrong with this four game stretch: Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma St and Oklahoma.
8 8 Georgia The Bulldogs look to jump back to the top of the polls, and they’ll get the opportunity with LSU and florida next on their schedule.
9 11 florida The gators get Kentucky this week, but then have to Georgia in Jacksonville after that.
10 15 Ohio St. The Buckeyes need to beat Penn St this week if they want to get back on top in the Big Ten.
11 12 Utah Two of the Utes final four games are against TCU and BYU. They need to win all four games to be BCS busters.
12 13 Louisiana St. LSU gets Georgia and Alabama next. It won’t be easy for the defending champs to even get back to the SEC Championship.
13 14 Boise St. The Broncos get San Jose St on Friday night. That will be a tougher game than most are anticipating.
14 9 Missouri Two weeks ago, the Tigers had goals as big as a National Championship. Now it looks like they could struggle to get a Big 12 Championship.
15 25 TCU TCU faces Utah on November 6. That’s the only game of their remaining four that looks like trouble.
16 26 Pittsburgh There’s not a single ranked team left on Pitt’s schedule.
17 17 South Florida The Bulls bounced back from their loss to Pitt, and should be able to win their remaining five games.
18 29 Georgia Tech The Yellow Jackets final five games won’t be easy. Virginia, Florida St, North Carolina, Miami (FL), and Georgia are still left on their plate.
19 23 Tulsa The Golden Hurricane has only scored less than 45 points in one game so far this season, and are averaging a ridiculous 56.6 per game.
20 7 Brigham Young The loss to TCU put any vision of a BCS appearance out of the Cougars mind.
21 21 Ball St. The Cardinals have one of the easiest schedules in the nation. They could go 13-0 and still not make a BCS bowl.
22 NR Boston College The Eagles still have six tough games remaining, and Chris Crane hasn’t impressed me.
23 30 Florida St. Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech are coming up next. Can the Seminole hold on to this spot?
24 18 Kansas I told multiple people during the preseason that Kansas would be lucky to have less than 5 losses this year. With Texas Tech, Texas and Mizzou still left on the schedule, it looks like that will hold true.
25 27 Minnesota The Golden Gophers finished with just one win last season. If they keep this up, they’ll finish with just one loss this season.




Others to note:
26 NR Northwestern
27 16 Virginia Tech
28 NR Oregon
29 24 Vanderbilt
30 NR Kentucky

Be sure to vote for which undefeated teams you think can hold on to make it to a BCS Bowl.

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